May 2026 Market Update

May 2026 Market Update

ADAM LEISHMAN — THE COMMERCIAL GUYS

Budget Noise, Lease Decisionsand Why Commercial Property Still Needs Active Management.

There has been plenty to talk about this month.

The Federal Budget has dominated a lot of commentary, with views coming from economists, finance brokers, politicians, industry groups and just about everyone in between.
In the commercial property space, the two topics that seem to be creating the most discussion are capital gains tax and negative gearing.

Rather than add another broad political view, our focus is on what these conversations mean at a practical level for commercial property owners, investors and landlords in our market.

Quick update

Here is the short version of what we are seeing this month:

The Budget has created plenty of discussion, particularly around tax, investment structures and future decision-making.

Commercial property remains attractive because investors are generally looking for income, cash flow and positive gearing.

More investors are likely to review the structure they buy in, especially with trust and company structures already common in commercial property.

Incoming anti-money laundering, know your customer and know your business requirements are likely to add more process to commercial transactions.

We are seeing more tenants proactively asking to exit, surrender or restructure leases.

Some tenants are still leaving it too late, resulting in abandonment, arrears or liquidation.

Asset management remains critical, especially when tenants are under pressure and landlords need early, practical action.

We are actively looking to grow our asset management client base and
would appreciate referrals.

The Budget Conversation and Commercial Property

The elephant in the room this month is the Budget.

There has already been a lot said about capital gains tax, negative gearing and the broader direction of property investment. In residential property, negative gearing is often a central part of the discussion. In commercial property, the conversation is usually a little different.

Commercial investors are generally not trying to build an investment case around a loss. The aim is usually to buy an asset that is positively geared, supported by rental income, lease security and a clear return profile.

That does not mean tax does not matter. It matters a lot.

But from a commercial investor’s perspective, tax is something that needs to be understood, modelled and planned for. It should not be the only reason to buy, hold or sell an asset.
The stronger question is this: in a market where investors are reassessing returns, risk and tax outcomes, where does capital go next?

In our view, commercial property continues to make a strong case. It offers income, tangible security, tenant-backed cash flow and the ability to make decisions based on yield, lease structure, land value and long-term utility.

As always, the details matter. Investors should speak with their accountant, solicitor and financial adviser about their own circumstances. But broadly, commercial property still looks like a sector that investors will continue to consider seriously when they are looking for income and return.

Structures, compliance and the next layer of complexity

Commercial property investors often use more complex ownership structures than residential investors.

Trusts, companies, self-managed super funds and layered ownership entities are all common in our world. That is not new. But it does mean that any change in tax settings, compliance requirements or transaction processes can create more administration around buying, selling and managing commercial property.

One area that will become more important is the incoming focus on anti-money laundering, know your customer and know your business obligations.

For straightforward transactions, this may simply mean more paperwork and identification checks. For more complex ownership structures, it may mean working through directors, shareholders, trustees, beneficiaries and related entities before all parties are satisfied.

That does not mean deals will stop. It just means the process may become more detailed.
For owners and investors, the message is simple: be prepared. Good records, clear ownership structures and early advice will matter more as compliance requirements increase.

We are Seeing More Tenants Ask to Exit Leases

Another noticeable trend this month is an increase in tenants wanting to discuss getting out of their lease.

This is showing up in two very different ways.

In some cases, tenants have left it too late. They are already under significant financial pressure, have fallen behind, gone into liquidation or simply abandoned the premises. That is obviously the worst-case scenario for a landlord.

But we are also seeing a more proactive version of the same issue.

Some tenants are still paying rent and still complying with their lease, but they are approaching the landlord or agent early and saying: This property no longer makes financial sense for our business. They want to discuss options such as surrendering the lease, buying out the balance of the term, assigning the lease, or working with the landlord to find a replacement tenant.
That is not ideal for the landlord, but it is a much better starting point than a tenant disappearing in the middle of the night.

Early conversations give everyone more options. They create the opportunity to manage risk, protect cash flow, understand make good obligations, plan a re-leasing campaign and negotiate from a more informed position.

Why Asset Management Matters in Moments Like This

This is exactly where active asset management becomes important.

Commercial property management is not just about collecting rent and processing maintenance. It is about managing the full lifecycle of the asset and the lease.

That includes:
Lease Setup
Rent Reviews
Renewals
Arrears Management
Maintenance
Compliance
Make Good Obligations
Lease Exits
Re-Leasing Strategy
Sale Readiness
Long-Term Asset Performance

At The Commercial Guys, our asset management systems have been built from the perspective of a commercial landlord as well as a commercial agency. In other words, the way we manage property is shaped by the way we would want our own properties managed.
That matters.

When a tenant asks to exit, when a rent review becomes difficult, when a lease is approaching expiry, or when a property needs to be prepared for sale, the response cannot just be administrative. It needs to be strategic.

The goal is always to protect the landlord’s position, maximise the outcome and keep the asset moving in the right direction.

A quick request from us

We are not always great at asking for referrals, so we are asking directly this month.
If you know a commercial property owner who could use better asset management, stronger communication or more strategic advice around their property, we would appreciate the referral.

We love helping landlords and property owners get better outcomes from their commercial assets.

Whether it is a single industrial shed, a small office, a strip retail tenancy, a multi-tenanted investment or a growing portfolio, we would be happy to have a conversation.

Final thoughts

May has been a month with a bit of everything.

Budget commentary has created plenty of noise, investors are thinking carefully about tax and structure, tenants are reassessing their space requirements, and compliance obligations are continuing to grow.

But through all of that, commercial property remains a practical, income-focused investment class.

The key is active management.

Good assets still need good strategy. Good tenants still need proper lease management. Good investments still need regular review. And in a market where the details are becoming more important, landlords need the right advice around them.

If you would like to talk about your commercial property, your current tenant, your lease structure or your asset management needs, please reach out to our team.


Adam Leishman

Until Next Time

Adam Leishman
Proud Principal & Director
The Commercial Guys

We’re always here, ready to answer your questions and help you navigate whatever the market throws your way.

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